Will it survive here?
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Viability score
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POPIA-aligned: aggregate, public & licensed data only — no personal information is collected or stored. Cleaned & scored by Raptview. Includes © OpenStreetMap contributors. Grid & ratings modules activate with their data keys.
Raptview market calls Dated, sourced reads — including the ones we got wrong.
Live calls for your location + global reads.
82%
9 of 11 confirmed
Across markets, buyers increasingly start in an AI answer (ChatGPT, Gemini, Google AI) before any website.
AI Overviews and assistants now sit in front of the click.
High · called Jun 5, 2026
Most searches now end without a click — the answer is consumed in place.
Zero-click behaviour keeps rising as engines summarise results inline.
High · called Jun 5, 2026
Settled — the track record (9 hit · 2 missed)
ChatGPT would add live web search with citations.
Hit — OpenAI shipped ChatGPT Search, citing sources inline.
Apple would build ChatGPT into the iPhone.
Hit — Apple Intelligence shipped with ChatGPT.
ChatGPT weekly users would compound past 400M.
Hit — OpenAI reported 400M+ weekly users.
AI Overviews would roll out well beyond the US.
Hit — Google expanded AI Overviews to 100+ countries.
A citation-first answer engine would go mainstream.
Hit — Perplexity scaled to hundreds of millions of monthly queries.
Google would ship a full conversational 'AI Mode' in Search.
Hit — Google launched AI Mode in Search in 2025.
Google would push Gemini as the default assistant across its products.
Hit — Gemini replaced Assistant across Search, Workspace and Android.
AI Overviews would become a default fixture of Google Search.
Hit — Pew measured ~half the click-through when one appears.
Most searches would stop sending clicks to the open web.
Hit — only ~36% of US Google searches reach the open web (SparkToro × Datos).
AI Overviews would crater referral traffic for most brands by early 2025.
Miss — the hit was real but uneven. Entity-clear, well-structured brands often held or grew. We now scope impact site-by-site, not blanket.
The AI-visibility tool market would consolidate to one or two winners by 2025.
Miss — it fragmented into dozens of overlapping tools. We shifted to measuring outcomes across engines, not betting on a tool.
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